Analysis of technology pathway of China's liquid fuel production with consideration of energy supply security and carbon price

Efforts to provide alternative resources and technologies for producing liquid fuel have recently been intensified. Different levels of dependence on oil imports carbon prices a significant impact the composition cost-minimizing portfolio technologies. Considering such factors, how should China plan its future industry? The model supporting technology capacity configuration that minimizes total system cost until 2045 is described in this study. results obtained different import indicate oil-to-liquid (OTL) will remain dominant China's industry over next three decades. If price low, coal-to-liquid (CTL) process competitive. For high price, biomass-to-liquid (BTL) expands more rapidly. also reveal developing BTL CTL can effectively reduce oil-import dependency; moreover, lead being replaced with low-carbon (e.g., BTL). Improvement energy raw material conversion application CO 2 removal are effective methods control emissions achieving emission goals ultimately reduction targets.